Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 won’t help full self-driving and that he doesn’t really know what it should take.
Hundreds of thousands of Tesla autos are geared up with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the 12 months, now we have been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to return clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that course in the course of the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO stated when requested about Tesla reaching its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 autos:
We aren’t 100% certain. HW4 has a number of occasions the potential of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes numerous efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There may be some probability that HW3 doesn’t obtain the security stage that enables for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 may probably not help unsupervised self-driving.
Nonetheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is presently utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 despite the fact that one was initially meant as redundancy, which you must obtain Tesla’s promised stage 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it just about unattainable for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would want to maintain growing software program to unravel self-driving, which remains to be removed from engaging in, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He stated that Tesla would provide a pc improve if Tesla discovered for certain that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we’ll improve those that purchased HW3 FSD without cost. And now we have designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand acknowledged, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it presently exist.
He stated it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of totally different energy and digicam harnesses. The entire laptop can be a distinct type issue that will make it arduous to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would want to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 automobiles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, despite the fact that HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger situation.
Electrek’s Take
I feel the extra vital remark is that this:
“We don’t really know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply is not any for the explanations acknowledged above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it must be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That must be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He stated yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would remedy autonomy by the top of the 12 months.
Now, he’s assured that this may occur subsequent 12 months, and we must always imagine him. Why?
The details are that Tesla was unsuitable about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was unsuitable about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is vitally seemingly unsuitable about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it gained’t know for certain till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” package deal and saying it should occur subsequent 12 months?
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